STOCK MARKET TIMING U.S. STOCKS

Stock Profits through Market Timing . . . and here, the Bishop of Rimini's coat of arms, with whom we stayed in 1512

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Stocks, stock research, stock and mutual fund selections plus stock market timing . . . and here, a portrait of me at age 37

 

Torun, Poland--Map

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I write from the centuries. My mother's brother, Bishop of Allenstein and then of Frauenberg, arranged a sinecure for me in as a canon in the Cathedral, leaving me good time to observe, measure, and derive conclusions--a continual process, I might add--in my studies of Mathematics, Medicine (at the practice of which I was pretty good), Astronomy, and Finance while I was living in Heilsberg. And I had cut back my medical practice to give me more time for observing, measuring, and pondering the behavior of Certain Celestial Bodies. One particularly bitter, cold night when I chose not venture out to the top turret of my favorite tower on the east side of the town, my beloved wife said to me, "Poppa Kopernik, what in the name of all that's Holy does a grown man like you do upon the very roof tops the whole Night long staring at the Stars in the Sky?  It's beyond all understanding."

She forgets, I suppose, that I have my man's work, my Obervations, my Measurements, my Conclusions to attend to (these are most important in my life; they must proceed)...always to be extended and refined. Well, the winter of 1510 I remember was, in fact, an unusually cold and stormy one, and, I might add, with too few nights conducive to my usual perusal of the Heavenly Stars...so I made use of the extra time I had in a diversion which has always interested me: The Behavior of Market Prices.

I had noticed how the cost of Wheat, Cheese, Beeves, Woolen Goods, and Various and Sundry and the like, would rise and fall much like the Nile of Joseph's time and even now; and how there was a seasonality to their movements, up and down, even as to the Planets and to the Stars--where they would appear in which part of the Sky from Winter to Spring to Summer thence to Winter again, or as the Sun rises and sets giving the Fair Earth God's Good Light by Day and His Respite by Night, or as Moon Herself wanders far from her home, the Night, during the course of the month, only to return by waxing and waning again in the blackness of Evening Time, rising and setting like the other Heavenly Bodies to be seen.

Thus, I set about as a diversion, as I say, some preliminary Observations, Measurements, and nascent Conclusions concerning what I perceived to be analogous phenomena in the behavior of prices in what is now your modern Stock Market particulary in North America, and more especially in the land known as the United States. I observed, time and time again, the Rise, Culmination, and Setting of individual stock prices over many spans of ages similar in operative behavior to the concepts which were to be included in my then long forthcoming Six Books De Revolutionibus Orbium Coelestium which I was for so long reluctant and ever loathe to publish (but that's another story for another time).

So now, you have before you the fruits of my early 16th Century Winter's Diversion (which I to this day nurture and nudge in the background) addressed to you under the impossibly shamelessly bold and promiscuously promotional title with a totally unscientific subtitle to which you now vouchsafe to give a small measure of your dear attention for study and reflection. In fact, this diversion of mine is not so unrelated to my later, parallel, definitive studies in Finance and susequently my Treatise on Monetary Reforms in 1527, well received by the King and no doubt a factor in my being named Deputy Counsellor for the Financial Regulations of Prussia for eight years.

Nor are these studies of Stock Prices which you see here entirely unrelated to my main life's work on the Celestial Movements of the Spheres (regarding the latter, I hold in disdain the condemnations of that saucy polemical priest, Luther, angry fomenter of rebellion at Wittenberg--forever a hotbed of Radical Activism--a Man of Outstanding Conviction, nevertheless, to be sure [may God help him!], but with equally outstanding Ignorance in certain Matters of Science, and equally those of his facile disciple, Melanchthon, meddling in incontrovertible business about which they know not).

At the very least, His Holiness Leo (blessed be his name) thought favorably enough of my theses on the Celestial Bodies at least until his successors heeded bad counsel and hassled poor Galileo into Public Recantation. But, as they say, it's all in a day's work--or, in my case, a night's. (And Mrs. Kopernik wound up pretty well pleased with her Station in Life and Life at the Court, I can tell you, and all of our trips to Rome and often Rimini and many other Wondrous Places, along with the excellent Patronage of some Highly Placed Persons, urbe et orbe, you see.) At any rate, I hope you make lots of zlotys making use of this site.


Bishop of Rimini's Coat of Arms - See Index/Glossary 'Coat of Arms'


My incarnate curriculum vitae : short version / long version


 

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