WINNING INVESTMENTS with EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS
SYSTEM: MOSTLY USA ETFs Home
Including Short Sales results here


Table 4.

Current Real-time Results
Trading System Mostly USA Versions 1.0 and 2.0

Long Only--with Timing
From August 27, 2004 to the Present

See footnotes below


Market

Event

$

%

weeks

*avg

cum%

cum%

Trend

Date

Fund

Buy

Sell

Date

Gain

Gain

held

%Gain

Gain

SP500

SP500

--

8/27/2004

XLE

31.50

36.58

12/24/2004

5.08

16.1

17

16.1

108

109

1205

--

8/27/2004

OIH

73.00

82.60

12/3/2004

9.60

13.2

14

14.6

115

108

1191

--

12/3/2004

HHH

70.42

66.74

1/7/2005

-3.68

-5.2

5

8.0

112

107

1186

--

12/24/2004

IJR

162.88

153.46

1/7/2005

-9.42

-5.8

2

4.6

109

107

1186

--

5/20/2005

BBH

164.72

189.54

8/26/2005

24.82

15.1

14

6.7

117

109

1205

--

5/20/2005

XLE

39.90

47.18

7/22/2005

7.28

18.2

9

8.6

128

111

1229

--

7/22/2005

OIH

111.09

112.86

8/26/2005

1.77

1.6

5

7.6

129

109

1205

--

11/18/2005

EWJ

12.62

13.27

12/30/2005

0.65

5.2

6

7.3

132

113

1248

--

11/18/2005

BBH

210.15

208.80

11/25/2005

-1.35

-0.6

1

6.4

132

115

1268

--

11/25/2005

OIH

126.25

130.23

12/30/2005

3.98

3.2

5

6.1

134

113

1248

--

7/28/2006

XLE

58.20

50.70

9/22/2006

-7.50

-12.9

8

4.4

125

119

1315

--

7/28/2006

EFA

65.94

69.22

10/13/2006

3.28

5.0

11

4.4

128

123

1366

--

9/22/2006

XLF

34.41

35.02

10/20/2006

0.61

1.8

4

4.2

129

124

1369

--

10/13/2006

OEX

633.61

652.60

11/17/2006

18.99

3.0

5

4.1

131

127

1401

--

10/20/2006

XLK

22.75

22.98

12/22/2006

0.23

1.0

9

3.9

132

128

1411

--

11/17/2006

QQQQ

44.16

42.93

12/22/2006

-1.23

-2.8

5

3.5

130

128

1411

--

4/20/2007

EFA

79.60

80.69

5/11/07

1.09

1.4

3

3.4

131

136

1506

--

4/20/2007

MDY

159.91

161.29

4/27/2007

1.38

0.9

1

3.2

132

135

1494

--

4/27/2007

OIH

159.99

170.26

5/18/2007

10.27

6.4

3

3.4

136

138

1523

--

5/11/07

XLE

65.19

68.07

5/18/2007

2.88

4.4

1

3.4

139

138

1523

--

6/1/2007

OIH

169.15

167.76

6/8/2007

-1.39

-0.8

1

3.2

138

136

1508

--

6/1/2007

XLE

68.73

68.06

6/8/2007

-0.67

-1.0

1

3.1

138

136

1508

--

9/14/2007

OIH

182.90

185.68

12/7/2007

2.78

1.5

12

3.0

139

136

1505

--

9/14/2007

XLE

72.35

86.60

6/6/2008

14.25

19.7

38

3.7

152

127

1400

--

12/7/2007

QQQQ

52.44

49.79

1/4/2008

-2.65

-5.1

4

3.3

148

128

1414

--

1/4/2008

OIH

188.05

152.50

1/18/2008

-35.55

-18.9

2

2.5

134

119

1313

--

1/18/2008

IBB

75.94

73.20

3/7/2008

-2.74

-3.6

7

2.3

132

117

1293

--

3/7/2008

BBH

169.80

168.35

4/18/2008

-1.45

-0.9

6

2.1

131

125

1388

--

4/18/2008

OIH

208.73

213.00

6/6/2008

4.27

2.0

7

2.1

133

123

1361

--

8/8/2008

BBH

201.70

187.94

9/26/2008

-13.76

-6.8

7

1.8

128

109

1209

--

8/8/2008

OIH

181.67

179.96

8/15/2008

-1.71

-0.9

1

1.8

128

117

1298

--

8/15/2008

IBB

90.29

83.58

9/26/2008

-6.71

-7.4

6

1.5

123

109

1209

--

1/2/2009

BBH

90.56

86.97

5/8/2009

-3.59

-4.0

18

1.3

120

83

923

--

1/2/2009

IBB

71.95

64.45

4/3/2009

-7.50

-10.4

13

1.0

114

76

840

--

4/3/2009

HHH

37.01

42.96

6/26/2009

5.95

16.1

12

1.4

123

83

920

--

5/8/09

XLK

16.93

17.00

5/15/2009

0.07

0.4

1

1.4

124

80

886

--

5/15/2009

QQQQ

33.59

36.28

6/12/2009

2.69

8.0

4

1.5

129

85

942

--

6/12/2009

OIH

109.31

100.77

6/26/2009

-8.54

-7.8

2

1.3

124

83

920

--

2/12/2010

IBB

85.08

91.63

4/9/2010

6.55

7.7

43

1.5

128

108

1195

--

2/12/10

MDY

131.38

142.34

3/12/2010

10.96

7.7

4

1.6

133

104

1149

--

4/9/2010

IJR

59.44

63.30

4/30/2010

3.86

6.1

11

1.7

137

107

1189

--

4/16/2010

HHH

62.67

62.94

4/16/2010

0.27

0.4

1

1.7

138

108

1192

--

4/16/2010

IWM

71.06

73.31

4/30/2010

2.25

3.1

2

1.7

140

107

1189

--

4/30/2010

Cash

1.00

1.00

6/11/2010

0.00

0.0

8

1.7

140

99

1095

--

6/11/2010

IJR

58.05

59.52

6/18/2010

1.47

2.5

9

1.7

141

101

1123

--

6/11/2010

MDY

139.47

142.15

6/18/2010

2.68

1.9

7

1.7

143

101

1123

--

6/18/2010

SMH

28.86

27.88

8/6/2010

-0.98

-3.5

8

1.6

140

101

1123

--

6/18/2010

QQQQ

47.60

44.61

7/9/2010

-2.99

-6.7

4

1.4

136

97

1077

--

7/9/2010

DIA

101.87

102.80

8/13/2010

0.93

0.9

8

1.4

136

97

1077

--

8/6/2010

EFA

53.89

50.72

8/13/2010

-3.17

-6.3

8

1.3

132

97

1077

--

9/3/2010

HHH

59.41

70.50

11/19/2010

11.09

15.7

19

1.5

142

108

1198

--

9/3/2010

EFA

52.11

53.91

9/17/2010

1.80

3.3

6

1.6

145

102

1127

--

9/17/2010

QQQQ

48.18

48.78

10/8/2010

0.60

1.2

5

1.6

146

105

1165

--

10/8/2010

EFA

56.98

57.44

10/15/2010

0.46

0.8

6

1.6

146

106

1177

--

10/15/2010

OIH

119.34

119.83

10/22/2010

0.49

0.4

5

1.5

146

107

1185

--

10/22/2010

QQQQ

51.86

52.76

11/12/2010

0.90

1.7

5

1.5

148

108

1200

--

11/12/2010

OIH

127.96

130.28

11/19/2010

2.32

1.8

5

1.5

149

108

1198

--

11/19/2010

Cash

1.00

1.00

12/3/2010

0.00

0.0

6

1.5

149

108

1200

--

12/3/2010

HHH

72.15

72.82

12/23/2010

0.67

0.9

3

1.5

150

113

1255

--

12/3/2010

OIH

137.59

150.34

1/28/2011

12.75

9.3

8

1.6

157

115

1277

--

12/23/2010

IWM

78.50

78.69

12/31/2010

0.19

0.2

1

1.6

157

114

1257

--

12/31/2010

XLE

68.13

71.58

1/28/2011

3.45

5.1

4

1.7

161

115

1277

--

2/4/2011

OIH

156.15

163.84

2/25/2011

7.69

4.9

3

1.7

165

119

1322

--

2/4/2011

XLE

74.44

78.24

2/25/2011

3.80

5.1

3

1.8

169

119

1322

--

2/25/2011

Cash

1.00

1.00

3/25/2011

0.00

0.0

4

1.7

169

119

1322

--

3/25/2011

OIH

158.79

154.19

4/15/2011

-4.60

-2.9

3

1.7

167

119

1313

--

3/25/2011

XLE

78.50

76.00

4/15/2011

-2.50

-3.2

3

1.6

164

119

1313

--

4/22/2011

IBB

105.38

106.99

5/6/2011

1.61

1.5

2

1.6

165

121

1340

--

4/22/2011

XLE

79.03

75.16

5/6/2011

-3.87

-4.9

2

1.5

161

121

1340

--

5/6/2011

Cash

1.00

1.00

5/20/2011

0.00

0.0

2

1.5

161

120

1333

--

5/20/2011

IBB

107.93

109.66

5/27/2011

1.73

1.6

1

1.5

162

120

1331

--

5/20/2011

HHH

75.74

75.57

5/27/2011

-0.17

-0.2

1

1.5

162

120

1331

--

5/27/2011

Cash

1.00

1.00

7/1/2011

0.00

0.0

5

1.4

162

119

1316

--

7/1/2011

IBB

108.00

106.87

7/15/2011

-1.13

-1.0

2

1.4

161

119

1316

--

7/1/2011

IJR

74.56

70.74

7/8/2011

-3.82

-5.1

1

1.3

157

122

1352

--

7/8/2011

HHH

80.05

78.09

7/15/2011

-1.96

-2.4

1

1.3

155

119

1316

--

7/22/2011

IBB

108.22

105.61

7/29/2011

-2.61

-2.4

1

1.2

153

117

1293

--

7/22/2011

HHH

78.90

80.20

7/29/2011

1.30

1.6

1

1.2

155

117

1293

--

7/29/2011

Cash

1.00

1.00

8/26/2011

0.00

0.0

4

1.2

155

106

1178

--

8/26/2011

HHH

72.33

78.64

9/9/2011

6.31

8.7

2

1.3

161

103

1137

--

8/26/2011

QQQ

53.66

52.04

9/2/2011

-1.62

-3.0

1

1.3

159

106

1178

--

9/2/2011

BBH

93.82

97.43

9/9/2011

3.61

3.8

1

1.3

162

103

1137

--

9/9/2011

Cash

1.00

1.00

9/16/2011

0.00

0.0

1

1.3

162

106

1174

--

9/16/2011

HHH

81.21

78.64

9/23/2011

-2.57

-3.2

1

1.2

159

103

1137

--

9/16/2011

QQQ

55.90

54.42

9/23/2011

-1.48

-2.6

1

1.2

157

103

1137

--

9/23/2011

Cash

1.00

1.00

10/7/2011

0.00

0.0

2

1.2

157

105

1158

--

10/7/2011

HHH

78.89

78.00

11/11/2011

-0.89

-1.1

5

1.1

156

114

1264

--

10/7/2011

BBH

101.43

108.09

10/28/2011

6.66

6.6

3

1.2

162

116

1285

--

10/28/2011

QQQ

58.43

57.75

11/4/2011

-0.68

-1.2

1

1.2

161

113

1253

--

11/4/2011

BBH

106.00

105.90

11/11/2011

-0.10

-0.1

1

1.2

161

114

1264

--

11/11/2011

Cash

1.00

1.00

12/2/2011

0.00

0.0

3

1.1

161

112

1244

--

12/2/2011

BBH

101.43

102.72

12/16/2011

1.29

1.3

2

1.1

162

112

1244

--

12/2/2011

DIA

121.83

120.96

12/9/2011

-0.87

-0.7

1

1.1

161

113

1255

--

12/9/2011

IBB

101.01

100.24

12/16/2011

-0.77

-0.8

1

1.1

160

110

1220

--

12/16/2011

Cash

1.00

1.00

12/23/2011

0.00

0.0

1

1.1

160

114

1265

--

12/23/2011

IBB

103.05

122.36

3/23/2012

19.31

18.7

13

1.3

175

126

1397

--

12/23/2011

IJR

68.92

70.08

12/30/2011

1.16

1.7

1

1.3

177

114

1259

--

12/30/2011

BBH

111.20

122.20

1/20/2012

11.00

9.9

3

1.4

186

119

1315

--

1/20/2012

XLV

35.86

35.64

1/27/2012

-0.22

-0.6

1

1.3

185

119

1316

--

1/27/2012

XLI

36.13

37.29

2/10/2012

1.16

3.2

2

1.4

188

121

1343

--

2/10/2012

IWM

82.11

79.99

3/2/2012

-2.12

-2.6

3

1.3

186

123

1365

--

2/24/2012

DIA

128.93

129.22

4/13/2012

0.29

0.2

7

1.3

186

124

1370

--

3/23/2012

XLF

15.89

15.25

4/6/2012

-0.64

-4.0

2

1.3

182

126

1397

--

4/6/2012

IBB

121.97

125.00

5/25/2012

3.03

2.5

7

1.3

184

119

1319

--

4/13/2012

QQQ

66.53

67.02

4/27/2012

0.49

0.7

2

1.3

185

127

1403

--

4/27/2012

XLY

45.84

43.57

5/25/2012

-2.27

-5.0

4

1.2

181

119

1319

--

5/25/2012

Cash

1.00

1.00

7/6/2012

0.00

0.0

6

1.2

181

122

1355

--

7/6/2012

IBB

132.36

143.63

9/28/2012

11.27

8.5

12

1.3

188

130

1441

--

7/6/2012

QQQ

64.03

68.47

9/28/2012

4.44

6.9

12

1.3

195

130

1441

--

9/28/2012

Cash

1.00

1.00

10/5/2012

0.00

0.0

1

1.3

195

132

1461

--

10/5/2012

IBB

145.79

142.33

10/12/2012

-3.46

-2.4

1

1.3

192

129

1429

--

10/5/2012

QQQ

68.35

67.17

10/12/2012

-1.18

-1.7

1

1.2

191

129

1429

--

10/12/2012

Cash

1.00

1.00

11/23/2012

0.00

0.0

6

1.2

191

125

1388

--

11/23/2012

SP500

1406.29

1426.19

12/28/2013

19.90

1.4

57

1.2

192

127

1402

--

11/23/2012

XKB

36.43

37.54

12/28/2013

1.11

3.0

57

1.3

195

127

1402

--

1/4/2013

SP500

1466.47

1487.85

2/22/2013

21.38

1.5

7

1.3

196

134

1488

--

1/4/2013

XLB

38.49

37.35

2/22/2013

-1.14

-3.0

7

1.2

194

134

1488

--

3/8/2013

SP500

1556.22

1588.77

6/21/2013

32.55

2.1

15

1.2

196

144

1589

--

3/15/2013

XLB

39.57

38.37

4/12/2012

-1.20

-3.0

48

1.2

193

144

1589

--

4/12/2012

IBB

169.01

166.42

6/21/2013

-2.59

-1.5

62

1.2

191

144

1589

--

6/21/2013

Cash

1.00

1.00

7/5/2013

0.00

0.0

2

1.2

191

144

1589

--

7/5/2013

SP500

1634.20

1690.32

7/26/2013

56.12

3.4

3

1.2

194

144

1589

--

7/5/2013

IBB

183.80

187.15

8/16/2013

3.35

1.8

6

1.2

196

144

1589

--

7/26/2013

XLB

40.33

40.65

8/16/2013

0.32

0.8

3

1.2

197

144

1589

--

8/16/2013

Cash

1.00

1.00

8/30/2013

0.00

0.0

2

1.2

197

148

1636

--

8/30/2013

IBB

197.46

215.49

12/13/2013

18.03

9.1

15

1.2

206

150

1655

--

8/30/2013

XLB

41.03

41.20

9/6/2013

0.17

0.4

1

1.2

206

150

1655

--

9/6/2013

QQQ

77.26

78.72

9/13/2013

1.46

1.9

1

1.2

208

153

1692

--

9/13/2013

XLB

42.68

44.60

11/22/2013

1.92

4.5

10

1.3

213

163

1806

--

11/22/2013

XLI

50.50

50.47

12/6/2013

-0.03

-0.1

2

1.2

213

163

1806

--

12/6/2013

IWM

112.60

110.62

12/13/2013

-1.98

-1.8

1

1.2

211

161

1777

--

12/13/2013

Cash

1.00

1.00

12/20/2013

0.00

0.0

1

1.2

211

165

1823

--

12/20/2013

EWG

31.02

30.05

1/3/2014

-0.97

-3.1

2

1.2

208

166

1832

--

1/3/2014

Cash

1.00

1.00

2/7/2014

0.00

0.0

5

1.2

208

166

1832

--

2/7/2014

IBB

248.11

218.42

4/11/2014

-29.69

-12.0

9

1.1

195

166

1832

--

2/7/2014

XLV

56.44

56.07

3/21/2014

-0.37

-0.7

6

1.1

195

166

1832

--

3/21/2014

XLB

47.55

46.45

4/11/2014

-1.10

-2.3

3

1.0

192

166

1832

--

4/11/2014

Cash

1.00

--

open




Symbol Lookup

Friday dates, Monday opening prices.

New trades are posted here several weeks after transaction date.

Real-time. These prices really happened on the dates specified.
But unless you personally participated in the reported openings,
the table is hypothetical relative to yourself.

cumul %Gain assumes holding the two top-ranked funds
at all times that the Market Trend is up.
*avg %Gain is the average profit of
all trades from inception to date.

The table reflects as accurately as possible
a record of real-world results as they occur.

The risk of the System underperforming a buy/hold approach
to the market always remains but appears unlikely
based on 18 years of backtesting.

Modifications and effective dates.
1/13/12: Across the board replacement of HOLDRs funds
with better suited components. Portfolio is now more rigorously USA
and has more trading access and liquidity.
9/28/12: Timer module adjusted for improved
quicker response to trend change.

Some of our data handling is manual. Errors can occur.
If you spot any, please let us know, and we will correct them.
Beyond that, this page is the Rock of Gibraltar;
except for fixing errors, no alterations
permitted after the fact.

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