STOCK MARKET TIMING U.S. STOCKS
Stock Profits through Market Timing . . . and here, the Bishop of Rimini's coat of arms, with whom we stayed in 1512

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Chart U.S. Stocks - Long Term

 


How to Use


Invest and speculate in the direction of the long-term trend (two- to four-year periods). These outposts of probable price change (vertical lines on the chart) forecast the next major reversal in the direction of stock prices. Like its cyclical antecedents of 1854, 1890, 1926, and 1962, as this is written in December of 1998, the current major trend remains up and will remain so until 2001. As the next outpost draws nearer, the site will identify specific dates around the forthcoming major top.  (Click on these charts to the left to enlarge and get current versions.)

Speculate (and invest) in the direction of the near-term trend (two to nine months). Typically, this takes the form of 'dunes and ponds' after daily randomity is mathematically removed. Two or more dunes usually transcribe a market top. Each is accompanied by a break in prices as the dune drops to the base line. The final dune drop breaks prices more severely, completing the top. This series successfully eliminates price-behavior randomity which causes much investor and speculator anxiety and misbehavior. It is reactive in that it processes each day's data and renders the current posture of the near-term trend daily as it occurs. (Click the chart to enlarge.)

Trade, if you like, on the correct side of the short-term picture. It, too, is reactive rather than predictive, telling you where the market is now rather then where it is going and when. It has a much higher component of randomity than the near-term series. But its depiction above or below the base line (click to enlarge) can express the continuation or reversal of a present trend. 

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Using these analyses, you will seldom, if ever in your lifetime, be on the wrong side of the Market.



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