STOCK MARKET TIMING U.S. STOCKS
Stock Profits through Market Timing . . . and here, the Bishop of Rimini's coat of arms, with whom we stayed in 1512

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  Theory and Practice

At the simplest, yet profoundest level, the sun rises and sets, night follows day, seasons change, tides ebb and flow, solar flares soar and recede, in animal health fevers arise to combat disease then abate.

At the human level, individuals fall in love, marry, divorce, crowds form, riots explode then disperse, nations muster forces on the border, wars emerge, rage, peace ensues. 

Behind all lies recurrence. Some is easy to measure, like the length of the day and the night, based on Newtonian orbital physics. Some is more difficult, like the alternation of stock prices, but with certainty these do recur and alternate as anyone who has ever taken a profit or a loss in a stock can testify.

Price behavior is both random and regular. If the randomness can be dampened, the regularity is revealed. Notice how this segment over several months approximately captures the essential internal regularity within the daily randomity.
HOW TO USE


A different randomity-dampener is used here next--

 

revealing regularity at price bottoms. (The Archives section of the site contains further recent and historic examples.)

I combine the two sets of regularities into a single series which  alternatively describes the imminence and arrival of a substantive rise or fall in the stock prices under observation. Base-line intersections suggest fairly precise changes in market direction. (See more on this in "How to Use.")  

Chart _NYTROPE

The randomity dampening and regularity profiles derive from elementary dynamic polynomial equations. 

Various time frames from a few days to decades and centuries comprise the site's analytical content. Each is constructed to give unique, timely insight into the probable direction and duration of stock-market prices. 

If you plan to use anything here, please read "Terms of Use" in the "Read This" link above.  Your use constitutes your agreement with the terms. If you don't agree, don't use.



        [A word about this and the other section on "Stock Selection"     If you come to rely on anything in this site, it should be on the material in the other section. This section provides a general impression of important market trends (and perhaps some entertainment), nothing more. The other section deals with specific weekly events that define and discriminate unequivocally between and among choices (is the market going up or down? what stocks should I buy or sell?). That information is quantitative and definitive. The information here is graphical and approximate though based on specific quantities.]



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